The honest premise
The industry sells forecasts. The evidence pays for discipline.
Most investment marketing sells the same implicit promise: someone smart can see what's coming. Decades of evidence say otherwise — the large majority of professional stock-pickers trail simple diversified benchmarks over long periods, and the winners rarely repeat.
That's not a reason for cynicism. It's a reason to stop paying for predictions and start collecting what markets pay reliably: broad ownership of businesses, over time, at low cost.

